This Nike spec ad written produced and directed by Samuel Buscapé has a nice misdirect. It starts first by building up the tension from what looks like a retro NASA movie, where something dramatic is happening. At the last minute, the head person decides to literally roll dice to see what happens. It then transitions to a dude and on a court, doing pushups and practcing to make the point hard work beats luck every time. It is hampered a bit by the somewhat sleepy pacing, but otherwise it's a smart idea.